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Showing posts from February, 2023

CLIMATE WATCH - PHYSICISTS PREDICT EARTH WILL BECOME A CHAOTIC WORLD

" ......in the worst cases, the researchers found that Earth's climate leads to chaos.............  A chaotic climate would have seasons that change wildly from decade to decade (or even year to year). Some years would experience sudden flashes of extreme weather, while others would be completely quiet. Even the average Earth temperature may fluctuate wildly, swinging from cooler to hotter periods in relatively short periods of time.........." https://www.livescience.com/humanity-turns-earth-chaotic-climate-system The paper:   https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.08955

CLIMATE WATCH - GLOBAL AVERAGE TEMPERATURE

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Global average temperature - a link about what global average temperature means, and some links to the data. https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-how-do-scientists... Decadal temperature anomalies (which means the difference between a given value and  a previous average) https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/.../decadal-global-temps-1881s... The 2022 report from Berkeley Earth *, one of the organisations that produces annual global temperature data: https://berkeleyearth.org/global-temperature-report-for.../ The UK Met Office 2022 report , which includes mention of the effect of the El Nino/La Nina cycle: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2023/2022-hadcrut5-wmo-temperature-statement   *Berkeley Earth came out of the endless complaints that the global temperature records had been "faked". Independent sceptical scientists set up a Berkeley Earth in 2010 to investigate the global temperature records. They found independent funding, including f

CLIMATE WATCH - Climate Myths

A Climate Myth about CO2 and temperature We often see claims that "temperature always increases first, followed by a rise in CO2". The "sceptic" blogs quote this a lot, and the main error here is "always". This sequence ONLY happens at the end of glacial stages, at the very beginning of deglaciation. In other geological contexts, CO2 rises first.   But this one situation has become a key part of many "sceptic" comments. So what is going on? The initial warming as deglaciation starts is driven by astronomical cycles,  Milankovitch Cycles: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iA788usYNWA&t=193s Another https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lbJrvtxWNE (I don't often post videos in scientific comments, but to illustrate these cycles it's the obvious thing to do) This initial warming causes the oceans to release CO2.  Then the CO2 amplifies the warming. So rising temperature initially causes CO2 rise .... AND THEN THE INCREASE IN CO2 causes far mor